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Why fatal drug overdoses are finally declining in SF -- and elsewhere

Found: Fri Nov 22 14:01:28 2024 PST
Webpage: http://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/... [translate]
Author: Catherine Ho, Health Care ReporterNov, cho@sfchronicle.c
Newshawk: http://drugpolicycentral.com/bot/


topical analysis
prison was NOT mentioned
propaganda analysis

Why fatal drug overdoses are finally declining in SF -- and elsewhere Why fatal drug overdoses are finally declining in SF -- and elsewhere

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Bay Area//Health

Why fatal drug overdoses are finally declining in S.F. -- and elsewhere

By Catherine Ho, Health Care ReporterNov 22, 2024

A man who survived a drug overdose is carried away by medical personnel on Mission Street near Seventh Street in San Francisco.Gabrielle Lurie/The Chronicle

San Francisco this past week reported the lowest number of monthly drug overdose deaths in four years, continuing a sustained trend with 2024's running total of fatalities down nearly a quarter compared with the same period last year.

The trend -- which local health officials called "remarkable" -- echoes similarly promising national data, released by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this month, that show fatal overdoses are down almost 15% compared with 2023. Overdose deaths in California are down about 10%, according to the CDC data. The figures are provisional and compare the 12 months ending June 2024 with the 12 months ending June 2023.

Both nationally and locally, it marks the first time in years there has been an apparent sustained reversal of the steep climb in deadly overdoses -- mostly driven by fentanyl -- that have devastated families and frustrated public health leaders.

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Mayor London Breed this past week attributed the decline in part to efforts by local, state and federal law enforcement agencies to arrest dealers and take fentanyl off the streets. Public health experts say it's unclear whether those crackdowns are having an effect on overdoses.

Doctors and researchers don't yet have clear answers on what's driving the decline, but are looking into several factors they believe may be contributing.

The decline of the COVID pandemic

Before the start of the pandemic in early 2020, overdose deaths were rising but at a more modest rate. But the trend took a turn for the worse during the early months of COVID, when deaths spiked sharply. Researchers attribute this in part to people using substances more during an exceptionally stressful time. Because of stay-at-home restrictions, people were often using alone rather than with peers, which put them at higher risk of overdosing. Overdose deaths continued to soar in 2021 and 2022.

"COVID pushed overdoses off the historical growth pattern dramatically, by as much as 30% in a single year in a lot of cities, which we'd never seen before," said Keith Humphreys, a professor of psychiatry and addiction researcher at Stanford University. "COVID created isolation, which made drug use dangerous. It also caused understandable fear, upset, anxiety, lack of structure, all incentives to use drugs more. All that is gone now."

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More Narcan and treatment

Health officials in many parts of the country, including California, have made the distribution of overdose reversal spray Narcan -- also known by its generic name naloxone -- a key part of their response.

During the first nine months of 2024, the San Francisco Department of Public Health distributed about 155,000 units of naloxone to community-based programs, which then gave out the product to individuals. That's up from about 107,000 units during the same period of 2023, according to city data.

"Perhaps we hit a tipping point or saturation point where there is enough access to naloxone among the population in need," said Dr. Dan Ciccarone, a UCSF professor of family and community medicine who researches addiction.

Statewide, the Naloxone Distribution Project, the primary mechanism for the state to distribute naloxone, has distributed 1.9 million units of naloxone this year -- up 27% compared with 2023, according to the California Department of Health Care Services, which runs the project.

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The naloxone goes to first responders, law enforcement, community organizations including libraries, harm reduction groups, schools, county health agencies, substance use recovery facilities, hospitals and community clinics.

But naloxone is only part of the equation. Overdose deaths are falling in communities with a lot of low-cost naloxone distribution such as St. Louis, but they're also falling in areas with limited naloxone distribution including Mississippi and Arkansas, said Nabarun Dasgupta, a senior scientist at the University of North Carolina who studies street drugs. That suggests other factors are at play.

Still, he encouraged local officials and community groups to continue efforts to make naloxone, treatment, housing and shelter available.

"If you see something that's working, if you know there's a scientific reason it should be working, just keep doing it," Dasgupta said. "If you're working directly with people who use drugs and you see their lives getting better because of the care you're providing, you're doing something right, regardless of what the numbers say."

In San Francisco, health officials attribute much of the progress to the expansion of addiction treatment options, including methadone and a type of behavioral therapy called contingency management, residential treatment and on-demand telehealth access to buprenorphine. Methadone and buprenorphine are prescription medications that help manage opioid addiction.

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"As we expand access, we're seeing higher rates of people starting life-saving medications," said Dr. Grant Colfax, director of the San Francisco Department of Public Health.

During the first nine months of 2024, 776 people in San Francisco were admitted to residential treatment for substance use disorder -- up 21% compared with the same period last year, according to city data. The figures are for people on Medi-Cal, the government insurance program for low-income residents, who enter a treatment program that has been certified by Medi-Cal.

Changes in the drug supply

Perhaps counterintuitively, the introduction of xylazine, the veterinary tranquilizer that was first detected in San Francisco's illicit drug supply in 2022, may actually be helping to reduce the severity of opioid overdoses. This is because when fentanyl and xylazine are used together, which is common among drug users, xylazine appears to protect against some of the most acute effects of fentanyl.

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"Overdoses with both xylazine and fentanyl are less clinically severe than overdoses with just fentanyl," Dasgupta said. "Xylazine has a protective effect on the severity of an opioid overdose. That may be preventing some of the overdoses."

In recent field studies in areas where xylazine is more prevalent, including Pittsburgh and Grand Rapids, Mich., drug users said they were using fentanyl less often, Dasgupta said. Among the reasons they cited were because xylazine appears to prevent withdrawal longer than fentanyl and because xylazine causes skin wounds that force people to moderate how much fentanyl they can use.

The group at highest risk of overdosing may be shrinking

There is some evidence that fentanyl users in San Francisco are getting older, and little evidence that new or younger people are coming in, said Ciccarone of UCSF.

And within the cohort at highest risk of fatally overdosing, so many have died already that the cohort is getting smaller, experts said. Those still in it may be changing their behavior as they witness others around them dying, or as they learn about how to use fentanyl more safely -- like in groups, or with naloxone nearby.

"As there's more death and destruction, people are losing people they know, seeing this incredible damage," said Humphreys, the Stanford professor. "It lowers people's willingness to initiate drug use. Over time, that shrinks the vulnerable population."

Reach Catherine Ho: cho@sfchronicle.com

Nov 22, 2024

Catherine Ho

Health Care Reporter

Catherine Ho covers health care at The San Francisco Chronicle. Before joining the paper in 2017, she worked at The Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times and the Daily Journal, writing about business, politics, lobbying and legal affairs. She's a Bay Area native and alum of UC Berkeley and the Daily Californian.

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analysis of article text


prohibitionist hits:0 government drug warrior (prohibition_agency) hits:0 propaganda (drugwar_propaganda) hits:76 legalization hits:0 drug_reformer hits:0 reform_referenda hits:0 cannabis hits:0 stimulant hits:0 narcotic hits:7 hallucinogen hits:0
    prohibitionist     prohibition_agency     drugwar_propaganda     legalization     drug_reformer
    reform_referenda     cannabis     stimulant     narcotic     hallucinogen
                        
                        


incarceration/prison mentioned? NO - the issue of prison or incarceration was NOT mentioned in this article .

propaganda analysis


explicit prohibition propaganda (explicit_propaganda) hits:0 hated group (propaganda_theme1) hits:8 madness, violence, illness (propaganda_theme2) hits:49 survival of society (propaganda_theme3) hits:11 gateway, use is abuse (propaganda_theme4) hits:6 children (propaganda_theme5) hits:0 demonize, war, epidemic (propaganda_theme6) hits:2 total prohibition (propaganda_theme7) hits:0 dissent opposed (propaganda_theme8) hits:0
EXP - explicit prohibition propaganda (explicit_propaganda) GRP - hated group (propaganda_theme1) MAD - madness, violence, illness (propaganda_theme2)
SOC - survival of society (propaganda_theme3) USE - gateway, use is abuse (propaganda_theme4) KID - children (propaganda_theme5)
WAR - demonize, war, epidemic (propaganda_theme6) TOT - total prohibition (propaganda_theme7) DIS - dissent opposed (propaganda_theme8)



conceptevidencehitslinks
 drug of abuse implied / mentioned

drug related
[news] [concept]

harm reduction illegal drugs  
drugwar_propaganda : a drug war propaganda event, campaign release, slogan, or themepropaganda

drugwar propaganda
[news] [concept]

propaganda theme1 propaganda theme2 propaganda theme3 propaganda theme6 propaganda theme4 Why Are Americans So Easy to Manipulate? (Bruce E Levine, 2012)
Classic Modern Drug Propaganda
Themes in Chemical Prohibition
Drug War Propaganda (kindle edition)
propaganda_theme1 : drug war propaganda theme: hated groupshated group

propaganda theme1
[news] [concept]

"drug users" "users" "dealers"8Hated Groups (propaganda theme 1)
drugwarfacts.org/druguse.htm
drugwarfacts.org/racepris.htm
America's Racist Drug laws
narcoterror.org/
Labeling theory
Transfer (propaganda)
 addiction 60%
[news] [concept]
"addiction"4Twelve-Step Snake Oil (2012)
Ceremonial Chemistry: The Ritual Persecution of Drugs, Addicts, and Pushers (Thomas Szasz)
Rat Park
substance.com/stop-nora-volkow-l...
iboga-experience.nl/
lewrockwell.com/2013/08/stephen-...
wakingtimes.com/2014/03/12/canna...
Most People With Addiction Simply Grow Out of It: Why Is This Widely Denied? (2014)
propaganda_theme2 : drug war propaganda theme: madness, violence, illness caused by drugsmadness, violence, illness

propaganda theme2 95%
[news] [concept]

"drug overdoses" "drug overdose" "overdoses" "overdose" "harm" "dangerous" "deadly" "fatal" "fatalities" "fatally" "deaths" "death" "anxiety" "damage" "Disease" "fear" addiction45Madness Crime Violence Illness (propaganda theme 2)
drugwarfacts.org/crime.htm
drugwarfacts.org/causes.htm
Distortion 18: Cannabis and Mental Illness
No, marijuana use doesn't lower your IQ (10/2014)
propaganda_theme3 : drug war propaganda theme: survival of societysurvival of society

propaganda theme3 75%
[news] [concept]

"community-based" "community" "communities" "public health" "the country"11Survival of Society (propaganda theme 3)
The "Nation" as a Device To Create a Psychological Crowd
 use is abuse

use is abuse 95%
[news] [concept]

"substance use" "drug use" "drug users"6Use is Abuse (propaganda theme 4)
drugwarfacts.org/addictiv.htm
propaganda_theme4 : drug war propaganda theme: all use is abuse, gatewaygateway, use is abuse

propaganda theme4 95%
[news] [concept]

use is abuse Use is Abuse, Gateway (propaganda theme 4)
propaganda_theme6 : drug war propaganda theme: demonize; use of drugs is epidemic; wardemonize, war, epidemic

propaganda theme6 65%
[news] [concept]

"pandemic"2Demonize, War (propaganda theme 6)
List of Wars on Concepts
Perpetual war
The Failed War on Drugs (2012)
 drug of abuse

illegal drugs
[news] [concept]

various illegal drugs addiction narcotic  
 drugs 95%
[news] [concept]
various drugs  
 flip-flopping prohibitionist

quasi prohibitionist 95%
[news] [concept]

"Keith Humphreys" "Humphreys"3rand.org/multi/dprc.html
samefacts.com
 harm reduction
[news] [concept]
"harm reduction"1mapinc.org/hr.htm
Distortion 4: Harm Reduction
 psychoactive chemical

chemicals
[news] [concept]

methadone erowid.org/chemicals/chemicals.s...
 psychoactive pharmaceutical

pharms
[news] [concept]

buprenorphine fentanyl naloxone erowid.org/pharms/pharms.shtml
 anxiolytic
[news] [concept]
buprenorphine  
 analgesic
[news] [concept]
buprenorphine fentanyl methadone  
 anesthetic
[news] [concept]
fentanyl  
opioid : opiate-like but synthetic drugsopioid

opioid
[news] [concept]

"opioid" methadone buprenorphine3Managing Pain
 narcotic
[news] [concept]
opioid Managing Pain
 naloxone - opioid overdose antidote

naloxone
[news] [concept]

"Narcan" "naloxone"14drugs.com/pdr/narcan injection.html
 methadone
[news] [concept]
"methadone"2csdp.org/news/news/handmmt.htm
drugwarfacts.org/methadon.htm
Managing Pain
erowid.org/chemicals/methadone/
 Buprenorphine

buprenorphine
[news] [concept]

"buprenorphine"2erowid.org/pharms/buprenorphine/
 Fentanyl

fentanyl
[news] [concept]

"fentanyl"11erowid.org/pharms/fentanyl/
 various drugs 95%
[news] [concept]
"drug" "drugs"17 
 various illegal drugs
[news] [concept]
"illicit drug" "drug users" "street drugs" "drug overdoses" "drug overdose"9mapinc.org
drugwarfacts.org
DEA's Drugs of Abuse booklet
drugwarfacts.org/drugtest.htm
 school
[news] [concept]
"schools" "University"3ssdp.org/
 aggrandizing government

aggrandizement
[news] [concept]

"officials" "experts"6Statism: the Most Dangerous Religion (2014 video)
What is Statism?
Conservapedia: Statism
Wikipedia: Statolatry
lewrockwell.com/2014/07/thomas-d...
Bought Priesthood
Worship of the U. S. Government (2011)
Bureaucratic Thrust
Tyranny of Experts
The Threat of Authority (2012)
The Media As Enablers of Government Lies
The Statist Mindset (Jacob Hornberger, 2011)
Thinking Critically about Experts and Authority
'Scientific' evidence for FDA-approved drugs isn't so scientific, it turns out (2014)
The Intellectual Gravy Train (2015)
 mainstream (controlled) media

msm
[news] [concept]

mockingbird Mainstream Media
whowhatwhy.org/2014/04/09/media-...
archive.lewrockwell.com/orig14/a...
Michael Levine, Mainstream Media: The Drug War Shills
beforeitsnews.com/alternative/20...
Mainstream Media: The Most Significant Threat To Freedom
msm.rt.com/
sputniknews.com/europe/20160225/...
 Mockingbird / Wurlitzer; US intel-controlled media

mockingbird
[news] [concept]

"Washington Post"1Operation Mockingbird - Mighty Wurlitzer
carlbernstein.com/magazine cia a...
US Media Conceals News (2013)
Two of the Largest American Newspapers Opine in Favor of Allowing States to Legalize Marijuana (2012)
reuters.com/article/2014/07/27/u...
https://web.archive.org/web/2013...
Propaganda 101: Operation Mockingbird Continues (2015)

st:0.01 fo:0 s:0.01 d:0 c:0.04 db:0.127 a:0.71 m:0.73 t:1.92 (f)


text of article used for CRITICAL ANALYSIS, under FAIR USE provisions of the Copyright Act of 1976, 17 U.S.C. § 107, et al.


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Bot's analysis of: "The Dangers and Consequences of Marijuana Abuse" the U.S. Department of Justice Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) Demand Reduction Section, May 2014
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    article tags



     

    mockingbird concept - documented US intel controlled media: newspapers, tv, radio - various press associated with known intel ops such as, "Operation Mockingbird", "Mighty Wurlitzer", etc.
    msm concept - mainstream media - corporate, government controlled press: newspaper, tv, radio, websites; press associated with known intel ops such as, "Operation Mockingbird", "Mighty Wurlitzer", Tavistock Institute, etc.
    aggrandizement concept - terms of aggrandizement (of government)
    school concept
    various_illegal_drugs concept - general terms for illegal drugs
    various_drugs concept - general terms for drugs
    fentanyl concept - Fentanyl is a short-acting synthetic opiate analgesic which is active at very low doses. Its effects are compared to heroin and it has been sold on the street as heroin, causing some deaths. (N-(1-phenethyl-4-piperidyl)propionanilide)
    buprenorphine concept - Buprenorphine is a semi-synthetic opiate derived from thebaine. It is an analgesic (pain killer) and has gained a great deal of notoriety for its ability to interrupt severe opiate addiction, including heroin and methadone addictions. It was approved by the FDA in 2002 for use as an opiate addiction treatment. (17-(cyclopropylmethyl)-alpha-(1,1-dimethylethyl)-4,5-epoxy- 18,19-dihydro-3-hydroxy-6-methoxy-alpha-methyl-6,14- ethenomorphinan-7-methanol)
    methadone concept - Methadone is synthetic opioid analgesic that is a mu-opioid agonist with actions similar to morphine. It is used in the treatment of dependence on opioid drugs.
    naloxone concept - naloxone hydrochloride is an opioid antagonist which prevents or reverses the effects of opioids
    narcotic concept - a drug that dulls senses, relieves pain, induces sleep
    opioid concept - opiate-like but synthetic drugs
    opioid
    anesthetic concept
    analgesic concept
    anxiolytic concept
    pharms concept - Psychoactive Pharmaceuticals are over-the-counter or prescription chemicals approved for human medicinal use, with mind- or emotion-altering properties
    chemicals concept - Psychoactive Chemicals are chemicals which have mind- or emotion-altering properties.
    harm_reduction concept - harm reduction
    quasi_prohibitionist concept - fence-sitting, or flip-flopping prohibitionists and organizations which seek to appear moderate, and above the fray - but nonetheless have advocated for the continued imprisonment of people for cannabis.
    drugs concept
    illegal_drugs concept - drugs of abuse, so-called
    propaganda_theme6 concept - drug war propaganda theme: demonize; use of drugs is epidemic; war
    propaganda_theme6
    propaganda_theme4 concept - drug war propaganda theme: all use is abuse, gateway
    propaganda_theme4
    use_is_abuse concept - drug war propaganda theme: all use is abuse
    propaganda_theme3 concept - drug war propaganda theme: survival of society
    propaganda_theme3
    propaganda_theme2 concept - drug war propaganda theme: madness, violence, illness caused by drugs
    propaganda_theme2
    addiction concept - addition or drug dependency
    propaganda_theme1 concept - drug war propaganda theme: hated groups
    propaganda_theme1
    drugwar_propaganda concept - a drug war propaganda event, campaign release, slogan, or theme
    drugwar_propaganda
    drug_related concept - related to illegal drugs and prohibition